Modest home price gains predicted in B.C. over next four years

Central 1 Credit Union projects two to three per cent increases for real estate to 2018

Housing prices in B.C. should rise modestly this year after stronger gains in 2014, according to a new forecast by Central 1 Credit Union.

The association of B.C. credit unions predicts a 2.5 per cent increase in resale home prices in 2015 and similar increases of between two and three per cent out as far as 2018.

Bryan Yu, senior economist with Central 1, sees continued strength in urban real estate markets.

“I think sky-high prices in Greater Vancouver have more room to grow with little risk of a significant downturn,” Yu said.

One trend he expects to continue is the divergence in price growth between detached houses and multi-family units.

“While condo markets have been soft, with median home values flat since 2010, detached values have surged,” Yu said. “Single-family housing is increasingly a luxury good detached from income drivers.”

His report predicts home prices in Metro Vancouver will continue to be underpinned by the scarcity of developable land, the growing population and international demand.

It says the collapse in the price of oil will be generally positive for real estate markets, because it leaves more discretionary money in consumers’ pockets.

But crude’s plunge is painful for Albertans and will restrain their demand for B.C. recreational property in the Interior and Vancouver Island.

The lower Canadian dollar, however, has made real estate here more affordable relative to the rising prices of U.S. homes, the report notes.

Central 1 expects no increase in interest rates until early 2016 but expects five-year rates will average 6.5 per cent in 2018.

“Record-low mortgage rates will not last indefinitely, but will remain low enough to underpin housing market demand this year and next.”

Just Posted

Black Mountain / sntsk‘il’ntən Regional Park starts to take shape

Student volunteers from three local schools work on trail building project

Kelowna’s Pleasure Painters to host day of art

The annual art sale will take place Oct. 20

Fire ignites at Kelowna homeless camp

No one was hurt in the incident, RCMP are investigating the cause of the fire

UPDATE: Kelowna mayoral candidates talk about crime

Candidates talk about an issue on many city residents’ minds—how to deal with crime downtown

Film exposing effects of Canadian mining company to be shown in Kelowna

Hudbay Minerals’ legacy of lead poisoning, and civil-suits including allegations of murder, rape and shootings

Store recognized for inclusive employment efforts

Shoppers Drug Mart in Summerland presented with certificate from WorkBC

Nanaimo’s Tilray pot stock continues rising, firm now worth more than $21 billion US

The B.C. company’s shares have risen more than 1,000 % since its initial public offering in July

Fresh-faced Flames fend off Canucks 4-1

Vancouver drops second straight NHL exhibition contest

VIDEO: B.C. deer struggles with life-preserver caught in antlers

Campbell River resident captures entangled deer on camera

Scheer pushes Trudeau to re-start Energy East pipeline talks

Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer questioned the Prime Minister over Trans Mountain project

Mistaken identity: Missing dog claimed in Moose Jaw belongs to another family

Brennen Duncan was reunited with a white Kuvasz that was found in Saskatchewan

Abandoned kitten safe and sound thanks to B.C. homeless man

‘Jay’ found little black-and-white kitten in a carrier next to a dumpster by a Chilliwack pet store

Police chief defends controversial marijuana seizure

Advocates said cannabis was part of an opioid-substitution program in Vancouver’s Downtown Eastside

Trans Mountain completes Burrard Inlet spill exercise

Training required, some work continues on pipeline expansion

Most Read