According to the national poll tracking website 338Canada, Conservative candidate Tracy Gray is ahead of incumbent Liberal candidate Stephen Fuhr in the Kelowna - Lake Country riding. (File Photos)

Conservatives pulling ahead of Liberals in Kelowna-Lake Country riding

Tracy Gray is currently projected to win 43 per cent of the popular vote

There’s a strong likelihood that Kelowna-Lake Country will be won by the Conservatives in the upcoming federal election, according to the latest projections by 338Canada, a national poll tracking website.

The polls show Conservative candidate Tracy Gray is projected to win 43 per cent of the popular vote, while the incumbent Liberal candidate Stephen Fuhr is projected to get 33.4 per cent of the vote.

The Green Party’s candidate, Travis Ashley, and the NDP’s candidate, Justin Kulik, are neck-and-neck, projected to win 10.2 and 9.3 per cent respectively.

John Barr, of the People’s Party of Canada (PPC), is projected to take 3.4 per cent of the popular vote.

Based on these projections, which were published on the 338Canada website on Oct. 2, there is a 91.8 per cent chance that Gray will win the election on Oct. 21, returning Kelowna-Lake Country to the Conservatives after just one term as a Liberal riding.

While Fuhr acknowledged the polling numbers, he said they don’t line up with what he’s been hearing on the doorstep.

“That’s exactly what that poll said at this point in 2015,” said Fuhr.

“It’s not consistent with what I’m seeing out in the community. If you were to go look at other poll aggregates you would find radically different numbers than that.”

Gray said she’s not concerning herself with advance polls.

“The polls that are important are the polls from the constituents that vote on Election Day,” she said.

Elsewhere in the Okanagan, 338Canada’s polls are showing a blue wave across the region, including South Okanagan-West Kootenay, which is currently leaning Conservative despite previously being an NDP riding.

Chances are also slim that the ridings of Central Okanagan-Similkameen-Nicola and North Okanagan-Shuswap will change hands.

The province as a whole appears to be leaning towards the Conservatives, with the party projected to win 32.6 per cent of the popular vote, according to the polls.

The Liberals sit more than five percentage points behind with 27.1 per cent, while the NDP has a slight edge for third place with 18.1 per cent.

The Green Party currently sits in fourth place with 17.8 per cent of the projected vote.

The PPC sits last among the larger parties with 3.2 per cent of the popular vote province-wide.

READ MORE: Kelowna-Lake Country candidates confirmed for upcoming election

READ MORE: ‘This is a business decision’ – Liberal candidate floats idea of strategic voting


@michaelrdrguez
michael.rodriguez@kelownacapnews.com

Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

Just Posted

Community ready to take on huge West Kelowna development at public hearing

Across four complexes, Blackmun Bay will boast 348 condo units, 60 townhomes and a 120 room hotel

City of West Kelowna fire station being relocated

The city will be moving the Olalla Road station to Lakeview Heights

Months of work ruined after vandals deface Peachland mural

Nearly 200 hours were put in collectively by six volunteers to fix up the mural

Get more out of your pumpkin this Halloween

The Regional District Waste Reduction Office encourages people to compost their pumpkins after Halloween

Impressive hometown win for Okanagan Marathon runner

Vik Bains celebrated his first-ever career win on his Kelowna home course on Oct. 20

Raptors Bling: NBA champions receive their rings in pre-game ceremony

There are over 650 diamonds — at a weight of 14 carats — in the 14-karat yellow gold ring

Trudeau: Climate and pipeline are priorities after election

Newly re-elected Trudeau wants to build the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion quickly

‘Find Trevor’: B.C. man’s dog leads searchers to rescue him after fall during hike

‘I’ve had lots of intelligent dogs, but Purple is in a class herself’

15 Canadian youths to sue Ottawa for not acting on climate change

They say young people will be more affected than other groups

Baldy Mountain Resort establishes fuel break to protect from future wildfires

The project was made possible thanks to funding from the FESBC

Straight from Dehart

New business complex opening in Kelowna

Faster response may have prevented fatal outcome at B.C. trampoline park

Coroner’s report rules Greater Victoria father Jay Greenwood’s death accidental

Greta Thunberg declines invitation to Victoria due to time, not ferry emissions

Thunberg confirmed that she will be joining a climate strike at the Vancouver Art Gallery on Friday

Fire extinguished in roof of Shuswap retirement residence

Residents moved back to Lakeside Manor in Salmon Arm from regional district building

Most Read